Sunday, May 24, 2009

Sunday (May 24) races

Trainer SS Attaollahi (left) & UB Group's Racing Manager Zeyn Mirza leading in Sans Pareil (Suraj Narredu up), winner of the Ministerial Trophy (pic credit: indiarace)

Sunday races

There are
two horses from the FINOO (Follow-In-Next-Outing-Only) list which find themselves on the Sunday card. They are:

Mystic Quest (4-7)
Sans Pareil (6-11)

Analysis:

Mystic Quest
i) Running at the lower level (From Terms, 3y to Terms, maiden, 3y now)
ii) Running over the same trip (1200m)
iii) Has better rider (V Shinde to B Prakash)
Satisfies ALL 3 conditions.
A WIN bet.

Sans Pareil
i) Running at the lower level
(From Terms, 3y to Terms, maiden, 3y now)
ii) Running over the same trip (1400m)
iii)
Has better rider (Neeraj Rawal to Suraj Narredu)
A WIN bet.

Good luck.

6 comments:

  1. i had lots of problems with tv. yesterdays races link was not openng. hope u will b able to take care soon.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dear Mr.Prakash Gosavi:

    On 17th May I responded to your posting on which you wrote about discipline cannot be sacrificed
    at the altar of such tempations, strictly a NO BET. And no regret.This is the first lesson
    which every punter is to understand if he wants to make money in horse racing.
    I also wrote on that day saying that Prakash you are on the right track. The day when all parameters
    satisfy the FINOO horse it is going to be a KILL. believe me. I have done this exercise for quite a
    few horses and still at it. I have no hesitation in recording that by the time BNG and PUNE ends
    there will be number of horses which fall under KILL and on that DAY I will go for it.
    I wish to draw your attention that the Kill appeared too quickly in the form of SANS PAREIL.
    The details are as under with respect to all the horses in the reckoning:-
    Savvy Concept TF minus 10 and FF-26.77
    Becket First Outing in 7 furlong no Data avialable.Considered just because it was first favourite.
    The Pearl TF minus 13 and FF-23.31
    Natouchka TF-6 and FF - 25.95
    Sans Pareil TF-42 and FF-25.38 The rest do not come in the reckoning.
    As per the BHB if a horse rating is more than 15 points than the rest of the field that Horse becomes
    the bet of the day. Now with a rating of 42 Sans Pareil towers over the rest of the field and falls into
    class III i.e 40 to 65 running in maidens Indian horses.Now look at the trackwork of the horse too.
    Calculate and Analyse and compare each horse's TF, FF and PP again and again with Sans Pareil.
    You find the kill. It is here you have to go and not where the temptation lies. Many more will again
    come and again I will draw you attention to this.
    Thank you and have good day.
    RAVI.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Again i am just cutting n pasting by adding Sunday's bets.

    I am monitoring both place (without any qualifier) and WIN (after applying the qualifier rules), here are results so far.

    PLACE bets (without qualifier)

    Rs 1000/- per bet on tote at Bangalore*

    No Horse Place paid (on Rs1000)
    1. Balance De Power 1,200
    2. Blue Danube 1,200
    3. Moon Flower 2,100
    4. Marine Zone 2,300
    5. Czar Alexander -1,000
    6. Up North 1,800
    7. Secret Agenda 2,400
    8. Golden Kingdom 1,100
    9. Smoking Aces* -----
    10. Born Special 2,200
    11. The Giant 1,500
    12. Pure Devotion -1,000
    13. Devilitto 1,300
    14. Trillion Win -1,000
    15. Lush Lashes +1,200
    16. Kripa +1,100
    17. Greens -1,000
    18. The Last Samurai +1,400
    19. Mystic Quest +1,100
    20. Sans Pareil +1,400
    -----------
    20,300 Returns
    Less 19,000 Investment
    =========
    1,300 Net profit
    *No place pool in 3horse race.

    Strike rate for PLACE bets 15 won/19 made = 79.0%
    Return on investment (ROI) 1,300 net profit/19000 invested = +6.8%


    WIN bets (after applying qualifier rules)

    Rs 1000/- per bet on tote at Bangalore

    No Horse win paid (on Rs1000)
    1. Balance De Power 1,400
    2. Blue Danube 1,800
    3. Golden Kingdom -1,000
    4. Smoking Aces -1,000
    5. The Giant 4,300
    6. Pure Devotion -1,000
    7. Devilitto +2,100
    8. Trillion Win -1,000
    9. Lush Lashes -1,000
    10. Kripa +1,700
    11. The Last Samurai -1,000
    12. Mystic Quest +1,300
    13. Sans Pareil +3,300
    -----------
    15,900 Returns
    Less 13,000 Investment
    =========
    2,900 Net profit

    Strike rate for WIN bets 7 won/13 made = 53.9%
    Return on investment (ROI) 2,900/13,000 = +22.3%

    ReplyDelete
  4. Dear Mr Ravi, I quite believe what you say, but I am afraid I must request you to please put up your analysis on FINOO list horses BEFORE the race so that every reader/visitor here can take your claims seriously.

    No offence intended. This is only one of the hazards of the internet world that even the truth has to pass the "time stamp" test. Hope you don't mind.

    Wishing you the best,
    Prakash

    ReplyDelete
  5. Ravi, time and again I have told you, that you always come up after the sun sets...

    ReplyDelete

Wish to post as "Anonymous"? Not a problem.
But a better way is to use the Name/URL option and take up some net name of your choice. That way your privacy is protected and other readers can associate your thoughts with your web personality. Think about it.
A sincere appeal by Prakash Gosavi, blog owner