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FINOO list horses for Bangalore, Sunday card (May 31):
There are four horses on the FINOO (Follow-In-Next-Outing-Only) list that find their names on the Sunday (May 31) card:
Let The River Run (1-6)
a) Running at the same or similar level (Picked up 6 points' penalty for the last run second, which is within our definition of the "same" level although, technically, now runs in class IV, 4y only as against open class V last time)
b) Running over the same trip (1600m)
c) Ridden by the same jockey (Suraj Narredu)
Satisfies ALL conditions.
A WIN bet.
One (5-7)
a) Running at the lower level (From open class III last time to same class, 4y&over now)
b) Running over + or - 200m trip (1600m last time; 1400m now)
c) Ridden by the same jockey (S John)
Satisfies ALL conditions.
A WIN bet.
Splendid Surprise (6-1)
a) Running at the same level (Terms, 4y&over, Grade 3)
b) Running over + or - 200m trip (From 1400 to 1600)
c) Ridden by the same jockey (Harish)
Satisfies ALL conditions.
A WIN bet.
Win Prettybaby (7-8)
a) Running at the similar level (This horse too picked up 6 points' penalty for the last run second, which is within our definition of the "same" level although, technically, now runs in class III, 4y&over as against open class IV, 4y&over last time)
b) Running over the same trip (1400m)
c) Ridden by the same, similar or better jockey (Ridden by S John last time, now goes out with Ms Lisa Jones. This is a difficult call, and as usual I will err on the side of caution and say 'NO'.)
Satisfies 2 of 3 conditions.
NO WIN bet.
Good luck.
mr gosavi the odds on ur horses are LTR run 3.5
ReplyDeleteOne 4.0
Splendid S 5.0
Why do you think Lisa Jones is not better than S JOhn? Anyone is a better jockey than S John. Back win pretty baby each way at least.
ReplyDeleteI thought you gave 4 bets when I visited yesterday. Now when I saw win pretty baby is NOT a bet you recommend. So pl make it stand out in may be red colour or many people in hurry will get wrong idea.
ReplyDeleteThanks Anonymous, it has been done.
ReplyDeleteDear Prakash,
ReplyDeleteI have 100% success on my yesterdays selections. I was expecting a pat on the back from my guru and guide.Dissapointed!!!!!!!!
I could not cash on as I was hardpressed for time .MY selections for todays not ready as yet
RAVI HYD
Dear Mr gosavi, I downloaded your excellent toolbar but had to delete it because I don't want my kids to see it when they use computer. Can you give it online on a site like I can use it when I am online instead of downloading it?
ReplyDeleteDear Ravi,
ReplyDeleteI just realized you had all the three races right yesterday. Good work. Keep it up.
Dear PMK,
ReplyDeleteI am a bit confused about what you want. Because you don't have to uninstall or delete the toolbar if you want no one else to see it. All you do is go to "View" on the browser, click "Toolbars". You will see a list of toolbars that are loaded on your browser adn one of them will read "Prakash Gosavi's Toolbar". It will have a tick sign against its name meaning it is visible on the browser right now. Just click it (it will get un-ticked) so that it becomes invisible right away. Later, when you are again on the computer and want to switch it on, repeat the same steps, it will start showing up again. All it takes is two clicks to make it visible or invisible, and that surely is not too much labour, is it?
Dear Prakash,
ReplyDeletemy selections
R.no.1 Jersey rock win
2.Son of the Soil Win
3.Sun Device
4.Special Charm
5.ONE *** win
6.Pallazio's Sun Win
7.Excellent ability
8.Ecuador Win
I am giving my entire selections based on RATINGS EXCEPT r.no.2.
I request your comments on the above to improve my strike rate.
Regards,
RAVI HYDERABAD
Ravi, you can't IMPROVE a 100% strike rate, can you? :)
ReplyDeleteDear Mr Prakash gosavi,
ReplyDeletei do agree on two of the three FINOO - Let & ONE. I am a bit wary of SPLENDID.Win may not be a good bet and may place if lucky.
Regarding other races i like SIPH in 2nd,RETRO (E/w) in 3rd & ORIENTATION ( E/W) in last
The very best of luck to you
SWAMY
Ravi 3/3 is 100%,but dont get carried away.Post only sure bets (could be two or three) and that will look sensible....
ReplyDeleteI would prefer "Arcadian" any day....."Icebreaker" always looked good........even today she looks fit for the fray.
ReplyDeleteMr Prakash let the fresh comments turn up on the top ,saves the botheration of scrolling down each time.
ReplyDeleteDear Mr Swamy,
ReplyDeleteI just hope Splendid will '"surprise" again. As you know, FINOO completely forbids me to look at the rivals, so I am absolutely ignorant of the so-called relative merits of others in the race. That's why I always love to hear other viewpoints. Thank you.
Jawnsin, I don't think that's possible in google blog, at least I couldn't find it in comment settings. Let me know if you know how to do it. But I also have a feeling more people would like to read in chronological order from top to bottom. But then, I could be wrong.
ReplyDeleteAgain, I am cutting & pasting by adding today's bets.
ReplyDeleteMonitoring both place (without any qualifier) and WIN (after applying the qualifier rules), here are results so far.
PLACE bets (without qualifier)
Rs 1000/- per bet on tote at Bangalore*
No Horse Place paid (on Rs1000)
1. Balance De Power 1,200
2. Blue Danube 1,200
3. Moon Flower 2,100
4. Marine Zone 2,300
5. Czar Alexander -1,000
6. Up North 1,800
7. Secret Agenda 2,400
8. Golden Kingdom 1,100
9. Smoking Aces* -----
10. Born Special 2,200
11. The Giant 1,500
12. Pure Devotion -1,000
13. Devilitto 1,300
14. Trillion Win -1,000
15. Lush Lashes +1,200
16. Kripa +1,100
17. Greens -1,000
18. The Last Samurai +1,400
19. Mystic Quest +1,100
20. Sans Pareil +1,400
21. Davenport +2,900
22. Chintz +1,100
23. Aboline +1,200
24. Let The River Run +1,800
25. One +1,400
26. Splendid Surprise +1,800
27. Win Prettybaby -1,000
-----------
29,500 Returns
Less 25,000 Investment
=========
4,500 Net profit
*No place pool in 3horse race.
Strike rate for PLACE bets 21 won/26 made = 80.8%
Return on investment (ROI) 4,500 net profit/26,000 invested = +17.3%
WIN bets (after applying qualifier rules)
Rs 1000/- per bet on tote at Bangalore
No Horse win paid (on Rs1000)
1. Balance De Power 1,400
2. Blue Danube 1,800
3. Golden Kingdom -1,000
4. Smoking Aces -1,000
5. The Giant 4,300
6. Pure Devotion -1,000
7. Devilitto +2,100
8. Trillion Win -1,000
9. Lush Lashes -1,000
10. Kripa +1,700
11. The Last Samurai -1,000
12. Mystic Quest +1,300
13. Sans Pareil +3,300
14. Davenport -1,000
15. Chintz +1,900
16. Aboline +1,900
17. Let The River Run +5,300
18. One -1,000
19. Splendid Surprise -1,000
-----------
22,000 Returns
Less 19,000 Investment
=========
3,000 Net profit
Strike rate for WIN bets 10 won/19 made = 52.6%
Return on investment (ROI) 3,000/19,000 = +15.8%
Dear Prakash:
ReplyDeleteThis is just for your information. Probably you might as well know these information still I am posting.
Considering the last 6 meetings of BNG and FINOO - A WIN BET recommeded by you works out a strike rate of success 46.66.Of course I have not related this to the odds at which the horse has won. It is just the rate of successful winners.
Please revert with your comments if possible.
Warm regards
RAVI
Dear Ravi,
ReplyDeleteI think the strike rate only for Bangalore so far should be 50% and not 46.66% as you say. Have a look at CP's post, and you can see that the last 12 bets (starting from bet #8 Trillion Win) are Bangalore bets and of them exactly half (6) have won.
Mr ravi, mr gosavi & mr cp what all of you have missed is that for bangalore barring the first bet (trillion win) the next 11 horses have placed (6 winners among them) giving the strike rate of 91.7% which is shocking. Today morning only i read on mr nair's blog someone said a bookmaker was prepared to give 5 lakh or something for straight 10 successful bets place/win. looks like finoo has already done it. To me this looks like a dream system even if it needs time to be tested fully.
ReplyDeleteSimply speaking, I got Rs 3726 on a Rs 500/ roll-on place bet against(1-6)(5-7)(6-1).
ReplyDeleteLet the negatives in CP's list show up in red.
ReplyDeleteDear sad sack,
ReplyDeletecomments cannot be formatted, so nothing can be done to distinguish besides the + or - signs.
Also, CP is out of India and will return only in the first week of August, so from this week I have started keeping win/place score of my "recommended" bets on the home page of my blog on racing days. Once in a while, I will also look at the score as per CP's recommendation (All FINOO horses as place bets WITHOUT any qualifier rules) to check its progress.