New video added: Training of a different kind, a funny horse video, of duration 3m:29s, added to the Monday (funday) section of the Race TV channel on your toolbar.
Watch out on this blog: The mathematics of "LUCK", an article that will scientifically discuss whether FINOO bets' last 12 PLACE successes in a row are a matter of the system's power or just plain luck?
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Scorecard so far: Bets 20 (All calculations based on BTC Tote)
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Win: Strike rate: 11/20 (55.0%) ROI: +34.00%
Win-loss sequence:
W W L L W L W L L W L W W L W W W L L W
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Place: Strike rate: 17/19 (89.5%) ROI: +25.8%
Win-loss sequence:
W W W - W L W L W W W W W W W W W W W W
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FINOO list horses for Bangalore, Sunday card (June 7):
There are two horses on the Sunday (June 7) card that also figure on the FINOO (Follow-In-Next-Outing-Only) list:
Calypso Star (3-8)
a) Running at the same level (Terms, maiden, 3y)
b) Running over + or -200m of the last trip (from 1100 to 1200m today)
c) Ridden by same or better jockey (From Neeraj to Suraj Narredu)
Satisfies All 3 conditions.
A WIN bet.
Act Of Duty (8-3)
a) Running at the same level (Class IV, 4y&over)
b) Running over + or -200m of the last trip (from 1200 to 1400m today)
c) Ridden by same or better jockey (From Shadab Khan to S Breux)
Satisfies All 3 conditions.
A WIN bet.
Good luck.
congratulations on a wonderful blog.
ReplyDeleteDear Prakash,
ReplyDeleteMY two good bets for bangalore(07/06/09) is
race no.3-GREENBRO -WIN & RACE NO.2is -BEST TIME -WIN .
RAVI HYDERABAD
I checked all sports channels on tata sky but couldnt get the race. Betfair listed it as uk time 3.45 so I thought the real time would be +5.30 hrs that is 9.15 IST so how was it run earlier? Doesn't make sense. Anyway thanks for update.
ReplyDeleteMr.Gosavi
ReplyDeleteWould be really nice of u if u could post ur valuable selections of the DAY along with ur "FINOO" listing
Regards.....
Rohit
I am not sure I get you. That is precisely what I am doing. I talk only about the horses that got onto the FINOO list on account of their last run, and have chosen to run on the day's card.
ReplyDeleteWell, if you mean why I am not publishing the entire FINOO list as it stands today, the reason is obvious. Even a 10 year old child can then apply the qualifier rules and choose bets, and no one will need to come to this blog except to check additions to the FINOO list. Also, it would be unkind to a small group of people (my private clients) who have stood by me through all the research (investing time and money).
I am sure you understand.
Hi-All FINOO friends.
ReplyDeleteToday we have two FINOO horses in CALYPSO STAR and ACT OF DUTY. Both a Win Bet.
Now the TF,FF,PP and PR of Calyso Star far superior to that of others that it becomes the kill.KILL No.2 after SANS PAREIL.I am of the view that there is very little room for this horse to loose.
Same is not the case with ACT OF DUTY. The TF,FF,PP and PR do not reflect well to the level of requirement.
They say one should not put all the egg in one basket. But i am going to put all my eggs in CALYPSO STAR and leave ACT OF DUTY.
By the way I grateful to Prakash for his compliments on my selection of FAIR OPTION.
goodday. See you next week
RAVI
Just to avoid confusion. RAVI HYDERABAD & RAVI are two different persons.
ReplyDeleteThe latter is the one who talks about TF & FF etc, and who yesterday had given Fair Option as a good bet.
The first list shows the win strike rate % with a "W".The second should show a "P" instead.
ReplyDeleteThe Win-Loss matrix (as it is called in gambling terminology) is always represented as W for win and L for loss.
ReplyDeleteWin or place, after all it is a bet. You have either (W)on the bet or (L)ost it. So it makes sense to show the success as W and failure as L, especially as the title explains whether it is a WIN or PLACE bet.
Mr.gosavi
ReplyDeleteWhat i meant was ur regular sels of 1 2 3 of the race card.
e.g 1st race #3
2nd race #5 so on.....
Rohit.
I think there is mistake in your roi calculation. I have prepared your chart and the performance is actually much better. Or have I made a mistake? Pl clarify.
ReplyDeleteWin
Sr No Horse Name Bet Return Net
1 Balance De Power 1,000 1,400 400
2 Blue Danube 1,000 1,800 800
3 Golden Kingdom 1,000 0 -1,000
4 Smoking Aces 1,000 0 -1,000
5 The Giant 1,000 4,300 3,300
6 Pure Devotion 1,000 0 -1,000
7 Devilitto 1,000 2,100 1,100
8 Trillion Win 1,000 0 -1,000
9 Lush Lashes 1,000 0 -1,000
10 Kripa 1,000 1,700 700
11 The Last Samurai 1,000 0 -1,000
12 Mystic Quest 1,000 1,300 300
13 Sans Pareil 1,000 3,300 2,300
14 Davenport 1,000 0 -1,000
15 Chintz 1,000 1,900 900
16 Aboline 1,000 1,900 900
17 Let The River Run 1,000 5,300 4,300
18 One 1,000 0 -1,000
19 Splendid Surprise 1,000 0 -1,000
20 Act Of Duty 1,000 1,800 800
20,000 26,800 6,800
Win ROI 34.00
Place
Sr No Horse Name Bet Return Net
1 Balance De Power 1,000 1,200 200
2 Blue Danube 1,000 1,200 200
3 Golden Kingdom 1,000 1,100 100
4 Smoking Aces 0 0 0
5 The Giant 1,000 1,500 500
6 Pure Devotion 1,000 0 -1,000
7 Devilitto 1,000 1,300 300
8 Trillion Win 1,000 0 -1,000
9 Lush Lashes 1,000 1,200 200
10 Kripa 1,000 1,100 100
11 The Last Samurai 1,000 1,400 400
12 Mystic Quest 1,000 1,100 100
13 Sans Pareil 1,000 1,400 400
14 Davenport 1,000 2,900 1,900
15 Chintz 1,000 1,100 100
16 Aboline 1,000 1,200 200
17 Let The River Run 1,000 1,800 800
18 One 1,000 1,400 400
19 Splendid Surprise 1,000 1,800 800
20 Act Of Duty 1,000 1,200 200
19,000 23,900 4,900
Place ROI 25.79
Dear Mr Well wisher,
ReplyDeleteHave you taken the tote figures of Bangalore Tote (BTC) when you calculated these figures?
Frankly, CP was doing all the calculations and I never really bothered to check, but I still don't think he could make such a blunder of showing half the roi (you are saying 34% for win, right?)
Anyway, it looks like you have done this job on a spreadsheet (maybe Excel) so why don't you send the file to me at gosavi@mid-day.com so that I can check the details myself?
It will be a real shame if you are right and we are wrong. And in that case, I will have to sincerely thank you so please disclose your complete identity when you send the mail.
Thanks.
On second thoughts I don't know if you are right but CP was surely wrong. I just checked some of his posts and it seems he has debited losses twice. Like he is listing "returns" and includes the bet amount in that (like +2,300), then for a loser he should have taken return as zero and not -1,000. Sorry I never bothered to do it myself (too much laziness, I guess).
ReplyDeleteAnyway, I hope you are still online to read this. Please rush the file. Thanks in advance.
Let CP's list show the actual amount won,If lost it should show as -1000.Then you would have no more confusions.
ReplyDelete“Raving Ravi"........then who’s this third, called Ravi Shanker ,Hyderabad.(May 30:8.49).All the more confusing.
ReplyDelete"Just for fun">>>>>>>>>You had a "PS" in 5th 6th and the 7th race..All 1st positions.
ReplyDeleteThank you Anand (well wisher) for your file. You are absolutely right. Thanks for letting us know FINOO is far better than we were projecting it to be.
ReplyDeleteI am making changes to this page, but not making any changes to old pages as I want CP (who is out of India at the moment) to check them himself when he has time or when he comes back.
Thanks again.
Ravi Shanker Hyderabad is the same as RAVI HYD. He is my student. He occasionally comments here. To avoid confusion I have today told him to use V Ravi Shanker (his full name) when commenting. Hope that will help.
ReplyDeleteStop this or smart patient birds will take the bookies to the cleaners.
ReplyDeleteSIR YOU SAID " Well, if you mean why I am not publishing the entire FINOO list as it stands today, the reason is obvious. Even a 10 year old child can then apply the qualifier rules and choose bets, and no one will need to come to this blog except to check additions to the FINOO list. Also, it would be unkind to a small group of people (my private clients) who have stood by me through all the research (investing time and money "
ReplyDeleteYOU ARE RIGHT ON YOUR STATEMENT BUT WHAT I WANT TO SAY IS WHY CANT YOUR FINOO HORSES LIST COME OUT ON HANDICAPS ? OR ACCEPTANCE AS TO WHICH HORSES ARE ON THE FINOO LIST EXPECTED TO RUN , THEN OFFCOURSE YOUR FINAL DECISION ONCE THE JOCKEYS ETC ARE DECLARED. I THINK IF YOU DO IT THIS WAY THE GENUINITY OF THE FINOO LIST IS NOT DOUBTED AS WELL AS YOUR CONDITIONS ABOVE ARE SATISFIED.
PLEASE HAVE A THOUGHT