FINOO bets (Sun, July 19)

Note: BTC has not uploaded the video for the main race, Bangalore St Leger, won by Conceptual. So that race video is NOT on Race TV playlist.

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Firstly, let me personally apologize to all the visitors (nearly 600 of them by the reckoning of the Statcounter log) for the incoveniece caused to them yesterday. As the Blog Moderator has already explained, the repairs took so long by the time they were through I had to leave on account of the little bit of social service that I do on Saturday evenings, and could return only after midnight.

Now coming back to today's races here are the FINOO list horses for Sunday's Bangalore races:

PRIME BET:

WIN only:

Mighty Heart (5-1)

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FINOO Experimental bets

WIN & PLACE:

Seven Star (6-9)

SHP & PLACE:

None

PLACE only:

Calypso Star (2-11)

Attaturk (7-2)

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Bookies' Delights

The following horses may not represent value-for-money at these odds, and hence, make sense to be "laid against".

Fleet Indian (1-2)

Likely odds 50/100

Bee Quick (5-3)

Likely odds 17/10

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Saturday (June 6) races

Filter rules save money: Seven Star (NS Parmar up), in race# 9, shaped like a winner before faltering close home and got onto the FINOO list. But filter rules applied could not recommend her as a bet. She finished a bad last, saving money and trouble for the FINOO list followers. [Pic from BTC race video)

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Scorecard so far: Bets 19 (All calculations based on BTC Tote)

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Win:     Strike rate: 52.6%     ROI: +15.8%

Win-loss sequence: W W L L W L W  L L W L W W L W W W L L 

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Place:  Strike rate: 88.9%     ROI: +26.11%

Win-loss sequence: W W W - W L W L W W W W W W W W W W W 

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FINOO list horse for Bangalore, Saturday card (June 6):

There is only one horse on the Saturday (June 6) card that also figures on the FINOO (Follow-In-Next-Outing-Only) list:

Seven Star (1-5)

a) Running at the same or similar level (Has earned only a 4-point penalty for the last run (25 to 29), so although running in higher class [class IV] now, "technically" deemed as runing at the same or similar level)

b) NOT running over + or -200m of the last trip (going from 1400 to 1800m)

c) Ridden by the same or better jockey (From NS Parmar to Suraj Narredu)

Satisfies only 2 of 3 conditions.

NO bet.

NOTE: Again, Seven Star has come onto the FINOO list exhibiting a fantastic pattern, so there is a definite temptation to let go the breakage of rule (b) above, especially since, under (c), it is going out with a far superior jockey so one would be tempted to "rationalize" that (c) will more than take care of lack of (b) above. However, I would once again like to dig up the "discipline" issue, and rather skip the bet than make it. Once in a while, there is no harm in watching your choice winning without your money riding on it. You may miss some profit, but at the same time, you would collect a point for sticking to discipline. Not a bad bargain, I think.

Good luck.